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Forecasting - Introduction
Forecasting
Error in Forecasts
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Mean Squared Error (MSE)
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
Example
Components of the Data
Methods for Forecasting Stationary Series
Moving Averages Method
Moving Averages Example
Exponential Smoothing Method
Exponential Smoothing Example
Chapter Summary
Methods for Forecasting Trend Series
Regression Analysis
Regression Analysis Example
Double Exponential Smoothing (Holt's Method)
Double Exponential Smoothing Example
Chapter Summary
Methods for Forecasting Seasonal Series
Seasonal Data with No Trend
Example 1
Triple Exponential Smoothing (Winter's Method)
Seasonal Factors
Example 2
Summary
Sales and Operations Planning
Introduction
Zero Inventory Strategy
Example 1
Example 2
Constant Workforce Plan
Example 3
Example 4
Linear Programming Solution
Example 8
Deterministic Inventory Systems: Economic Order Quantity
Economic Order Quantity
Cost Components
Example 1
Example 2
Lead Time
Example 3
Finite Production Rate
Example 4
Example 5
Deterministic Inventory Systems: Quantity Discount Models
All Units Discounts
Example 1
Example 2
Incremental Discounts
Example 3
Example 4
Deterministic Inventory Systems: Resource Constraints
Budget Constraint
Example 1
Space Constraint
Example 2
Deterministic Inventory Systems: EOQ Models for Production Planning
Common Cycle Time
Example 1
Deterministic Inventory Systems: EOQ with Backorders/Lost Sales
Total Cost Formula
Optimal Solution
Example 1
Sample Midterm Questions
Methods for Forecasting Stationary Series 1
Methods for Forecasting Stationary Series 2
Methods for Forecasting Trend Series 1
Methods for Forecasting Trend Series 2
Methods for Forecasting Seasonal Series 1
Methods for Forecasting Seasonal Series 2
Methods for Forecasting Seasonal Series 3
Basic EOQ 1
Basic EOQ 2
Basic EOQ 3
Basic EOQ + Lead Time 1
Basic EOQ + Lead Time 2
Finite Production Rate 1
Finite Production Rate 2
Finite Production Rate 3
Finite Production Rate 4
All Units Discount 1
Incremental Discount 1
Budget Constraint 1
Space Constraint 1
Common Cycle Time 1
EOQ with Backorders 1
EOQ with Backorders 2
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