IE 405 • Tüm Sınavlar • Decision Analysis

What is a good decision

Course Concept

Steps of analysis of decisions

Elements of decision making

Introduction

A Decision Tree Example

Interpretation

EV or EMV

Example 1

Decision Strategies

Example 2

Risk Profiles

Example 3

Deterministic Dominance

Stochastic Dominance

Example 4

Influence Diagrams

Example 5

Introduction

Cost Calculation

Eagle Airlines Example-Intro

Eagle Airlines-Cost Calculation

Eagle Airlines- Sensivity Analysis: Spider Diagram

Eagle Airlines-Cost Calculation: Tornado Diagram

Two Way Sensivity Analysis

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Exam Like Question 1 - Influence Diagram

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Conditioning Events

Total Probability Rule

Example 1

Example 2

Bayes' Rule

Bayes' Rule Example 1

Bayes' Rule Example 2

Introduction

Calculation of EVPI

Some notes about EVPI

Example EVPI

EVII or EVSI

Example EVII

Introduction

Assessing Subjective Probebilities

Example 1

Fractiles

Extended Pearson-Tukey

Bracket Medians

Inverse Transform Method

Example 2

Monte Carlo Simulation

Example 3

Example 4

Introduction

Bounded Rationality

Availability Heuristics

Representativeness Heuristics

Anchoring and Insufficient Adjustment

Framing

Mental Accountig

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Question 1

Question 2

Question 3

Question 4

Question 5

Question 6

Question 7

Question 8

Introduction

Different Risk Attributes

Example 1

Certainity Equivalent

Example 2

Allais Paradox

Ordering and Transivity

Introduction

Example - Assessing Utiliy Functions I

Example- Assessing Utility Functions II

Example - Assessing Weights

Example - Assessing Weights II

Example 5

Example 5 - Extended

Multilinear Utility Functions

Decomposability

Some Concepts

Substitutes and Complements

Example 6

Introduction

Major Steps of AHP

Building the Hierarchy

Pairwise Comparison Matrix

Matrix Multiplication

Eigenvalue

Eigenvector

Eigenvalue - Eigenvector Method

Example - Building Hierarchical Tree

Example- Relative weights of the criteria

Example - Individual scores

Example - Synthesize the weights and scores

Consistency

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Question 1-a

Question 1-b

Question 1-c

Question 1-d

Question 2-a

Question 2-b

Question 2-c

Question 2-d

Question 3

Question 4